March 2010 Starting Thoughts

Controversial TDFs

In our August 2009 issue, Securities and Exchange Chairman Mary Schapiro told the Journal of Financial Planning the SEC planned to shine its regulatory spotlight on target-date funds (TDFs).
 
"Funds with the same target date have produced some widely varying returns, leading to questions about their glide paths and whether it's potentially misleading to use a date in a fund's name," Schapiro said.
 
Author and professor Zvi Bodie, interviewed for our February 2010 issue, questioned the wisdom of including these popular funds as a default investment option for defined contribution plans under Department of Labor rules for qualified plans.
 
"I took a look at how target-date funds performed recently and those with a target date of 2010 lost more than 30 percent of their value, on average," Bodie said. "Is that appropriate for people close to retirement?"
 
In this issue, Bodie and coauthors Richard K. Fullmer and Jonathan Treussard further probe this topic in what is likely to be a controversial paper: "Unsafe at Any Speed? The Designed-In Risks of Target-Date Glide Paths." The authors call for new standards for the safety and labeling of qualified default investment alternatives such as target-date funds, comparing the need for such standards to the need for food and automobile safety. Your level of concern will probably depend on your own experiences with TDFs.
 
Another trio of authors weighs in on the TDF controversy in "Asset Allocation for Retirement: Simple Heuristics and Target-Date Funds." Steven D. Dolvin, William K. Templeton, and William J. Rieber examine common asset allocation strategies for retirement investing, including those of leading target-date funds.
 
Dolvin, Templeton, and Rieber note that most TDFs seem to employ a strategy similar to the 120 minus age formula for determining the allocation to equity. Historically, strategies based on that formula have performed comparably to other strategies. The authors believe TDFs may have a place, especially among less sophisticated investors who do not use professional planners and are otherwise prone to bad habits such as chasing returns.
 
Chances are neither of these articles will prove to be the final, definitive article on TDFs, especially with regulatory review pending. And even experts who respect each other's methodology and research do not necessarily agree. That's why we continue to provide a forum for diverse, sometimes controversial articles.
 
At the very least, these two articles expand the body of literature on target-date funds specifically and retirement investing in general. They underscore the need to clearly and carefully discuss with, and disclose to, your clients how the objectives and methods of measuring risk differ for target-date funds compared to other investment vehicles.
 
The TDF issue is debated daily in the financial community. If the Journal failed to provide a forum for important, well-thought-out viewpoints on such subjects, we would be doing a grave disservice to our readers. It is our hope that these articles will generate equally thoughtful consideration by readers and potential researchers. After all, the last chapter has not been written on this issue.

Lance Ritchlin
Editor